ADYEN:EURONEXT AMSTERDAM

Adyen NV

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

€956.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Adyen shares are trading at €956.9, sitting just below the 20‑day SMA of €964 and well under the 50‑day (€1,191) and 200‑day (€1,394) averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI of 38 hints at a modest oversold condition, while the MACD histogram is positive, offering a faint bullish signal amid decreasing volume and a high 30‑day volatility of 85%. Recent earnings‑call commentary noted a stock plunge despite solid revenue growth, adding to near‑term pressure around the support level of €890.7.
Fundamentally, Adyen boasts a 17% revenue growth rate, 68% gross margin, and a 49.5% operating margin, underscored by €10.8 bn of cash and minimal debt. Its forward PE of 20 is well below the industry average of 37, and the DCF‑derived fair value of €808 suggests the current price still carries a premium, though analysts project a median target of €1,511, implying significant upside. Strong cash generation, a 22% ROE, and a “strong‑buy” consensus reinforce a longer‑term growth narrative despite the present technical headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Recent earnings‑call disappointment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust revenue and margin expansion
  • Attractive forward PE versus industry
  • Strong cash position and low net debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular growth in global payments
  • High ROE and consistent free cash flow
  • Analyst consensus and significant upside to target prices

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.90%
Profit Margin44.71%
P/E Ratio28.4
ROE22.33%
ROA5.92%
Debt/Equity4.78
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash Flow€1.0B
Free Cash Flow€534.3M
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.3
Support€890.70
Resistance€1,234.00
MA 20€964.02
MA 50€1,190.91
MA 200€1,393.81
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.59

Valuation

Fair Value€807.83
Target Price€1,460.82
Upside/Downside52.66%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility85.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.